Unfortunately for all my Generalites our current bout of seconditis continued with the Galway Plate<\/strong>. That’s now 3 big handicaps in 5 days in which we have been so near and yet so far. We could easily be sitting here with a very healthy profit and yet instead we are staring down the barrel of the bank manager’s gun as he points his shotgun at my mortgage! Never mind, moving on.<\/p>\n So on to number 2 in my big 4 handicaps, the aforementioned Galway Hurdle<\/strong>. We now need to recover our 10 points that went astray on race 1 but the plan remains the same, put 10 points on this race and hope to maximise profits.<\/p>\n Again, the Galway Hurdle<\/strong> has some good stats for us to start with.<\/p>\n 1) 9\/10 winners were aged 5 to 7<\/p>\n 2) 7\/10 winners carried 10st 7lbs or more<\/p>\n 3) In recent times, better horses have contested the race leading to 3 of the last 4 winners being rated 135 or higher<\/p>\n If we put these stats into play, then we concentrate on the top 10 horses in the race.<\/p>\n From there we can lose Darwins Fox and Laudatory as they are too old and Fergall as he has been off the track too long. We now have a manageable list of 7.<\/p>\n Good recent form is essential in this and any horse that hasn’t managed to win in one of it’s last 2 runs should be struck from the list. Here we see Bayan, Rawnaq and Midnight Game fall by the wayside.<\/p>\n So as with yesterday we are left with 4 to choose from.<\/p>\n I am happy to evict Vulcanite on the grounds that AP has chosen not to ride it. That in itself is a tip in reverse.<\/p>\n Then there were three. Spookily all 3 are trained by J. Ferguson. This begs the questions – has he deliberately aimed these horses at this race? Has he had the race in mind for 2 seasons for each of these horses? In fact he has 4 runners in the race, so clearly he wants to win it.<\/p>\n I’m very happy to go with the stats and put up the 3 Ferguson horses that fit the bill, namely: Purple Bay, Parlour Games and Borodini<\/em>. \u00a0All \u00a0are ridden by top jockeys so won’t fall down on that score and if the trainer is as good as I think he is, then the Galway Hurdle<\/strong> is coming to England.<\/p>\n Galway Hurdle – Best Bets<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n 4.5 points on Parlour Games @ 12\/1<\/strong> with bet365<\/a>\u00a0(48 points profit)<\/p>\n 3 points on Purple Bay @ 16\/1<\/strong> with bet365<\/a>\u00a0(48 points profit)<\/p>\n 2.5 points on Borodini @ 20\/1<\/strong> with bet365<\/a>\u00a0(42 points profit)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Number 2 in the list of big handicaps this week is the Galway Hurdle. Another mad cap handicap with a huge field round a tight track. It all adds up to to one tough race to crack. Unfortunately for all my Generalites our current bout of seconditis continued with the Galway Plate. That’s now 3 big handicaps in\u2026 Read More »<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[3],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fortunepalace.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/508"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fortunepalace.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fortunepalace.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fortunepalace.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fortunepalace.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=508"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fortunepalace.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/508\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fortunepalace.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=508"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fortunepalace.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=508"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fortunepalace.co.uk\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=508"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}